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http://konradsgraf.com/storage/Monetary%20analsyis%20of%20sidecoins%20KG%2024Oct2014.pdf

Not sure they would be the same. (e.g. 2 days to move off a sidechain if CC runs on a sidechain, different risks perceived by the market)

Thoughts?

In sociology there is the concept of the spiral of silence which is the "process by which one opinion becomes dominant as those who perceive their opinion to be in the minority do not speak up because society threatens individuals with fear of isolation. The assessment of one's social environment may not always correlate with reality." (Ref: Wikipedia)

I believe prediction markets could reward those who speak out. They could counteract the effects of the media which speaks a single message. They can reward people who fear isolation.

e.g. Will a CEO of a Fortune 500 company announce he is gay by Dec. 31, 2013?
Will an NSA whistleblower come forward by Dec 31, 2012?

Social revolutions could be sped up this way.

Thoughts?