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Tomorrow I'll probably put some screenshots up on http://www.truthcoin.info/software/

( Again, though, these aren't written by me.[/url].

You didn't put any screenshots up, and you probably should.

Frankly I think you need to write the software. You seem smart enough...just save up, quit whatever stupid job you have, learn C++ and do it yourself. You'd probably finish in a year, and could anonymously raise enough money for immediate retirement.

There are so many people who *seem* to be aware of everything that happens in the space. Clearly most of those people know nothing about Truthcoin or Conditional Prediction Markets.

How to resolve the contradiction?

Holy crap this guy is dumb.

Well, we can only ask questions that are easily verifiable, otherwise all the voters will say it is a bad question, and it gets thrown out.

So we are somewhat limited in what metrics we can use. You cannot ask how long the average person will sleep next year since statisticians are so incentivized to cheat, but you could ask for the market price of black beans.

If limiting Futarchy to "black bean optimization" is the best you can do, I think you just shouldn't say anything at all. Writing is for people who actually have thoughts.